Wednesday, February 19, 2020

Gold Prices and Dollar Index Shows The Underlying Strength of Gold is strong

Gold Prices and the Dollar Index 
- As a rule of the thumb , when the value of dollar increases 
relative to other currencies,  the price of Gold tends to fall in dollar terms. Its because gold becomes more expensive in other currencies.  Today spot gold cross the 1600 level in the midst of a bullish dollar trend, it shows the underlying strenght of Gold is very strong and this multi year gold bull cycle that started in Mar 2019 will continue.
All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Friday, February 7, 2020

Wall Street Melt Up Looks Like the Run Up Before The Dot Com Bust

U.S. stocks ‘Melt Up’ Looks Like The Final Leg Of Run Up That Happened Before The Dot-Com Crash

It seems like no matter the negative headlines including the disruptive and destructive  corona virus epidemic  stocks continue pushing higher.

Inspite of the Wuhan virus outbreak that threatens to  disrupt global supply chain and businesses in an unprecedented scale  , the benchmark the Wall Street  Index has not only regained its losses from its previous highs two weeks ago but have scaled new highs

The markets are ignoring the negative news but choose to place their faith in central bankers and its easy-money policies – like interest rate cuts and liquidity injections from the most powerful central banks in the world – only throwing  rocket fuel on the Melt Up in U.S. stocks.
The writing is on the wall, we might be reaching the late innings of this historic bull market, but the gains are accelerating. This is really looking like what happened in the late 1990s during the run-up to the dot-com peak.
Of course, a brutal bust followed the dot-com bubble... And the Fed is up to some of the same tricks again today. But most important, smart investors who followed the market higher – and got out at a good time – made a killing.
That's exactly what can happen again this time...
For the smart investors , make the  money and  retire,  it could be the final shot, the Melt Up is about to hit a dramatic turn.

All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Thursday, February 6, 2020

Talking to Young Investors at SIT

On Monday, I was invited by SIT Investment Club to talk to "Let's Talk about Money". This is a financial literacy initiative in collaboration with Doctor Wealth. 

I gave the students an overview about the different type of assets to get started on their investment journey. We also looked into real life examples of different kinds of stocks, such as growth stocks, income stocks, speculative stocks, and how to avoid the pitfalls many investors made so that they can start off in the right way.

To encapsulate my points in one picture, I showed them an illustration of a hamburger. It sums up how they can start building their portfolio with sound asset allocation. 

Instead of diving straight into stocks, a young investor can consider starting with a saving plan which gives predictable returns to form the foundation of their retirement income. 

Insurance is key to and should be budgeted well so that it gives adequate protection and also leaves them with sufficient cash flow to pursue their personal growth.

Finally, when they have accumulate sufficient capital, they can look into deploying their funds into a portfolio of stocks, bonds etc. 

Knowledge is power! I hope all of us will continue learning every day.

For enquiries about how to optimise your assets allocation, email us at 

All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Friday, January 31, 2020

Wuhan Coronovirus Epidemic - When Will The Stock Market Bottomed Out?

The first outbreak on 6 February 2003, and bottomed out  25 April. A strong rebound followed and the indices ended the year higher. MSCI Hong Kong and Hang Seng Index in 2003. Expert say that this virus is less fatal but more infectious and indeed it took only 8 months for SaRs to spread to 8000 people. The Wuhan virus infected 8100 people in 30 days. The fast spreading virus has so far only impacted travel and tourism but the outbreak will inevitably cause supply chain hiccup and near-term earnings decline for tech firms with exposure to China. Chinese companies will suffer more than foreign ones. We could also see a delay in China’s 5G deployment and PC and smartphone production trouble. One company that will inevitably suffer is Lenovo Group 0992.HK, almost 60% of their smartphone production comes from factories in Wuhan.  Drawing lessons from SARs , we are probably in the early days of the epidemic and nobody at this stage could fathom the depths of economic damage it can inflict. It took Hang Seng about 2 months to recover from SARs , it may take longer this time . If what the expert say is true , this virus will strike more fear because it is fast spreading and this  will cost many companies to suspend business which will be detrimental to the economy and the stock market. The markets in US seems immune to the virus but i believe the damage will eventually  find its way to the American shore . 
All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Sunday, January 26, 2020

Coronavirus Epidemic - Note to Traders

Wall Street Street has been largely immune to the China Corona virus epidemic. Perhaps because history shows it does not pay to be bearish.

According to Dow Jones Market Data, the S&P 500 posted a gain of 14.59% after the first occurrence of SARS back in 2002-03, based on the end of month performance for the index in April, 2003. About 12 months after that point, the broad-market benchmark was up 20.76%.

However, I think this time round it could be different. Beijing is  more important to the world economy now than in 2003, lock down to more cities, restricting movement to an unprecedented 56 million people as it rushes to build a prefabricated, 1,000-bed hospital for victims.

The ability of the virus to halt travel and harm consumption, particularly in Beijing, are some of the ways an outbreak could have economic implications that could wash up on U.S.

The fact that the coronavirus came as a full surprise, has the potential of having a major effect.

Goldman Sachs said in a note on Tuesday it anticipated a 260,000-barrels-per-day negative shock to global oil demand on average, including a 170,000-bpd loss of jet fuel .

For me , the strategy is to Sell Now, Worry Later, while traders may not yet grasp the full impact of the coronavirus, oil bulls already wavering in their conviction, oil prices hit nine-week lows on Thursday, with U.S. crude down 9% on the year while Brent, the global crude benchmark, sunk 6%.

Stay bearish until we see the cases of people infected start decreasing.

This coronavirus epidemic could turn out to be a Black Swan event.

Holding some gold as a defensive hedge could be a good idea.

Have a blessed and happy CNY!
All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Saturday, January 18, 2020

Thank you for your support!

My heartfelt thanks to everyone who have supported and journeyed with me for yet another year. The success of RHO intra-day index trading signal was a significant milestone in my life. I am especially heartened because it has helped many retail traders with limited capital to make an income. The RHO signal was special because it is probably the only trading signal in the world that gives live calls for major global stock indices on a intra-day basis. Day trading is the most challenging type of trading traders face today and RHO signals has successfully and consistently provided good wins. I am committed to helping retail traders gain an edge over the market. This year, I forward to launching the RHO Swing and RHO Quick Win signals (a very short term trade signal) for stocks. This is something I have been working with my team for the last 3 years. For those who are current running this race with me, please stay with me, the best is yet to be! I wish everyone a great 2020 with many blessings!

All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Thursday, January 16, 2020

Intra Day Trading with RHO Signals

Intra-day trading is challenging, but with a system to track your positions for you, it can be more efficient, and profitable!

Last night our system triggered two trades for Dow Jones, yielding 450 points profit intra-day.

Today, our system managed to catch Hang Seng Index at the peak, yielding approximately 405 points intra-day.

To experience a more systematic way of trading, go to
All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Wednesday, January 15, 2020
Tuesday, January 7, 2020

Gold - A New Bull Cycle Has Just Begun

Gold - When Gold broke above 1340 in Jun 19 , i declared a New Gold bull cycle has started . After Gold shot pass 1340 i predicted on my blog that it will hit a high of 1550 in Sep 19.  Yesterday Gold prices surpassed the target to close at a 6 years high of 1588. I believe the metal is  in the cusp of early New Bull cycle and there is more room to run. If Gold can stay above 1588, the next target will be 1654 and to complete this cycle the metal will have to achieve the 1704 target
All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only