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Sunday, August 18, 2019

Robin Ho At Spore InvestFair 2019

I will be speaking at Spore Investment Fair 2019 on Sunday 12.00. Hope to catch some of you there!
All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Monday, August 12, 2019

The Giant Hunt For Yield Will Lead To A Financial Melt Down


The Giant  Hunt For Yield Will Lead To A Financial Melt Down
The US 10 Years Treasury yield is poised to test the 6 years low at 1.35% as negative bond yields wash over Europe and Japan. This will force  the Fed to keep lowering rates so that America can remain competitive with the rest of the world. Investors and corporation will be force and lured into taking riskier bets and anything that provides some sort of decent cash flows will be bought up, as American yields head lower and lower. The elusive inflation,  that central bankers hope will rise to ease the global debts problem has not materialize inspite of prolonged monetary stimulus. The build up in risky asset and debts will eventually lead to a Big Blow up. The only safe haven this blog believe is in Gold.

All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Tuesday, August 6, 2019

China Yuan Devaluation and Its Impact

China’s currency broke through the psychologically important level of 7 yuan to the dollar, prompting President Trump to accuse Beijing of manipulating its currency .

PBoC said the currency’s slump was “due to the effects of unilateralist and trade-protectionist measures and the expectations for tariffs against China,” the People’s Bank of China said in a statement.

Currency weakness is a textbook response to tariffs being imposed on a country’s exports but do not expect a repeat of Monday’s large one-day depreciation because devaluation will hurt both countries as imports becomes more expensive for chinese companies.

Monday’s move should be seen as a warning shot , its more likely the PBoC will be to allow a gradual (2018-style) depreciation in response to the heightened tariff threat given that global trade and manufacturing are already considerably weaker than a year ago.

The other smaller Asian currencies will also weaken in the wake of the yuan . The weakening of the yuan will be also post as a tailwind for commodity prices Historically, turning points in the CNY/USD exchange rate have also coincided with turning points in commodity prices. This blog expect commodity prices to be soft going forward to the end of the year.
All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only

Robin Ho's Live Trading Bootcamp

I will be conducting a live trading boot camp on National Day, 9 August 2019 at One Good Trade Cafe. 

The cafe can accommodate 30 participants, and registration is on a first-come-first-serve basis. Join me if you are free!

Registration and details here:




About One Good Trade Cafe / Menu for the Day

One Good Trade Cafe is a social networking platform for traders & investors. Come enjoy great coffee with like-minded people or chill with a beer, wine or cocktail with bar bites and all-day dining.

Your meals are covered for the day! Enjoy the sumptuous signature meals at One Good Trade Cafe while you learn. Here are your meal options (please indicate your meal preference as you checkout).
All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Monday, August 5, 2019

Market Outlook 3Q 2019 - Slides Download

We had a fruitful market outlook seminar on Saturday! More than 400 participants gathered at Nexus auditorium as I shared on the new global trends and stock trading ideas, particularly what a smart investor will do in the new digital age and the low inflation and low interest environment.




If you have missed the seminar, you may download selected slides for more trading ideas: Click here to download slides

Please join us for the next Market Outlook and take advantage of the super early bird promotion (last few days): Click here to register

Next Market Outlook

14 Dec 2019, Saturday
930am - 1230pm

Cuppage Plaza
5 Keok Road #05-07
Singapore 228796


My upcoming Master the Markets trading course with Cyberquote is scheduled in October 2019.

In this course, the class will monitor and trade a portfolio together with me over a 3 week period. Join me for a hands-on, practical experience in trading!

Send your queries to: robinhosa@phillip.com.sg cc: tanyunyou@phillip.com.sg.












All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Thursday, July 18, 2019

FANG INDEX - Early Sign Of A Breakdown. Chart Point Target Reached .

FANG INDEX - Early sign of a Chart breakdown . The long term target at  293 has been hit . A
double top reversal pattern could be forming. A break below 280 could trigger a downward aceleration to 255. The index tracks the performance of Fang stocks along with several other high growth technology shares like Nvidia , Baidu and Tesla.
All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Tuesday, July 9, 2019

S&P 500 - topping out

S&P 500 is forming a topping out pattern, which could lead to significant decline.


All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Friday, June 28, 2019

Y Venture - Today's Price Action Could Indicate That The Big Boys Have Distributed !



Y Venture - Today's Price Action Could Indicate That The Big Boys Could Have Distributed at 0.15. A break below 0.14 support will bring the stock to  0.132, 0.12 and 0.101


All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Tuesday, June 25, 2019

Four Signs the Gold Bull is Back

Gold break out of 6 years downtrend. I have called a buy on Gold since my market outlook on 23 mar when gold prices was at 1315. Back then the call to overweight on gold was the bearish outlook for the US dollar, the impending recession due to the inverted yield curve and the expectation of the central bankers reverting to another monetary stimulus in the form of modern monetary theory if recession sets in.
I see 4 signs why the gold bull run is back. First, despite a strong dollar gold was quickly closing in on multi year highs. Second, and perhaps more important, gold mining stocks are outperforming Gold for the first time in many years. This is evident in the Gold ratio index. Because gold stocks provide leverage to the price of gold, they tend to move faster than gold if it is a real bull run. Thirdly Gold is also outperforming the other precious metal like silver and platinum. Fourthly. the world’s biggest central bankers are all preparing to flood the world with “easy money” again and add in the rising Middle East tension and your can expect a explosive move higher.


All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Thursday, June 13, 2019

HK Extradition bill could inflict huge damage on HK economy and stock market

The passage of the extradition bill could be a tipping point for the removal of US-Hong Kong Policy Act which can potentially inflict huge damage on the Hong Kong economy and its stock market

The passage of the extradition bill could potentially be the tipping point in US-Hong Kong relations, from which the US begins to seriously question whether Hong Kong is justified to receive special treatment from the US.

The US is also concerned that the proposed changes “could create serious risks for US national security and economic interests in the territory. If passed, the bill could potentially violate several key provisions of the US-Hong Kong Policy Act of 1992” “ and subject US citizens residing in or visiting Hong Kong to China’s judicial system.

There are fears the US will revoke the US-Hong Kong Policy Act. The policy act treats Hong Kong as a separate jurisdiction from mainland China and gives Hong Kong special treatment with regards to matters trade and commerce . For example, Hong Kong is not subject to the tariffs imposed by the US on Chinese goods in the current trade war.

I believe that the risk of the US withdrawing the US-Hong Kong Policy Act immediately is small since Donald Trump has not sound any serious opposition so far . Removal of the US-Hk Policy act could also set off the withdrawal of foreign investment in Hong Kong businesses and asset from a loss of confidence.
All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Monday, June 10, 2019

Dow Jones - Key Resistance at 26090

Dow Jones had one of its best rebound this year, rebounding 1200 points over the last 4 days. According to this trade plan, the key resistance stands at 1600. A pullback to 25620 and 25450 in the short term is expected.


All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Thursday, June 6, 2019

Short Term Outlook and Strategy

The G20 meeting scheduled on 28 – 29 Jun in Japan where Trump said he will meet with President Xi. As G20 meeting approaches it could spark some short covering and buying interest. However this blog believes that ‘Red lines’ indicated by the China White Paper makes quick deal is unlikely as “China will not sign a deal that does not immediately remove all tariffs on Chinese exports” and “China will not sign an agreement that requires unrealistic increases in China’s purchases of US goods. 

The initial request by the US, that Chinese imports rise by US$200bn is already borderline unrealistic.” The recent China PMI figures shows that manufacturing is contracting.  Thus monetary policy support will continue, but demand from the real economy is not catching up. If the trade issue escalates, there will be more earnings cuts in the future. Offshore markets will be affected by Rmb depreciation. Stick to consumer sector, with strong domestic demand is good, dividend plays, such as utilities but not banks because of the low interest rate environment.
All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Tuesday, June 4, 2019

RHO Index Key Levels - Recent Highlights

On 27 May, the first trading day after our first anniversary, both our predicted day high and day low for China A50 were hit. On top of that, we had 3 take profit signals for the long trade, followed by a bonus short signal after it had reversed from the day high. The intra-day range of our prediction today was 318 points. 


We are constantly enhancing our RHO robot's algorithm. On 29 May, 2 trades were triggered, and our RHO predicted day high was hit twice. As you can see from the illustration below, subscribers received step by step notification for entry and profit taking.


We had two buy signals for S&P 500 on 3 June. Here, we can see the advantage of a responsive algorithm. After the first buy signal, the take profit signal was sent less than an hour later, right after it had reversed from the peak! Without the robot to signal the first take profit, it would been back to square one. Shortly after that, the second buy signal was triggered, and we took all the profits within 30 minutes.


The same night, our RHO prediction for Dow Jones was also triggered, but it was a signal to short! What's more impressive is the take profit signal which was sent just before the rebound, which would have erased the gains. Also see that the partial profit and full profit signals were just 2 minutes apart, which shows the responsiveness of our algorithm in protecting the profits made.


You may visit Tradingkungfu.com/keylevels to try out the signals!


All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Friday, May 31, 2019

How I made almost $20k SGD in 3 days with a simple trade plan

I would like to share how I used a simple trade plan to trade the Hang Seng Index, and make a decent profit in just 3 days!

In this chart, you can see Hang Seng Index hitting the resistance of my trend channel, where I opened a short position of 480,000 shares with the Hang Seng Index 7X short DLC.

If you are new to DLC, DLC stands for Daily Leverage Certificate. It is traded on the Singapore Stocks Exchange, and allows you to long or short selected indices or single stocks with up to 7x leverage factor.

For this DLC trade, I bought 480,000 shares of the 7X Short Hang Seng Index DLC at $1.535. The next day, I sold them at $1.572, reaping a total profit of SGD $16,716.






The second trade is an intra-day trade I did today, 31 May 2019. I shorted Hang Seng Index at 27096 with Phillip CFD, and covered the positions within the same day with an intra-day profit of HKD$19,765 (approx. SGD$3400).




Hence you can see that trading doesn't have to be complicated. With a simple trade plan, we can all trade better!

Today is the last day for you to lock in the promotional rate for our RHO Index Key Levels trading signals. 

It is our proprietary trading robot which gives subscribers step by step guidance to enter their trades, take profit and stop loss. 

Check out this link to sign up: https://www.tradingkungfu.com/keylevels








All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Thursday, May 30, 2019

Dear readers, ­

We are pleased to announce that after one year since RHO Index Key Levels trading signals was first launched, it has evolved from its humble beginnings to become a sophisticated system that provide step by step guidance, real time!

Now, with precise entry and take profit signals, traders can have more free time to do what they love instead of glueing their eyes to the screen. They are only called to action when prices hit potential inflection points. They can find in RHO robot a tireless trading partner who helps them trade in an objective and disciplined manner.

We have a string of good results recently. For instance, take a look at FTSE China A50 predictions on Monday. Both our predicted day high and day low were hit, covering an intra-day range of 318 points. On top of that, subscribers received 3 take profit signals for the first trade, followed by a bonus second trade after it had reversed from the day high.

In the coming months, we have exciting plans lined up for RHO signals, such as the roll out of our auto trading robot, and the introduction of more varieties of signals.

Hence, we would llike to invite you to join us on this journey. To reward subscribers who got on board early, those who sign up before 31 May 2019 will be able to lock in the promotional rate of $149 per 3 months for RHO Index Key Levels basic subscription package.

Click here to sign up:
https://www.tradingkungfu.com/keylevels

Lets trade better together!



Robin Ho




All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Saturday, May 25, 2019

Happy Birthday RHO Index Key Levels!

Today we are celebrating the 1st anniversary for RHO Index Key Levels!
The RHO Index Key Levels is the first intraday trading strategy that trades major stock indices like the Hang Seng Index, MSCI Singapore Index, FTSE China A50, Dow Jones Industrial Average, Nasdaq Tech 100 and S&P 500.
Over the year, we have served over 300 subscribers, allowing them to ride on the intraday movement of these major Asian and US indices.
The idea was simple: Instead of scalping a few points on each trade, the potential day highs and lows for these indices were sent to subscribers before the start of each day.
When the price reaches these levels, subscribers can then take an intraday trade with less risk and higher potential returns!
When we first started, all we had were the predictions sent before each trading session. There were no further alerts, and subscribers had to track the movement of the prices and enter the trade when the levels were hit.
Fast forward to today, we've evolved into a full fledged trading system with intelligent real-time buy and sell calls, incorporating the proprietary trading strategy of Singapore's renowned trader Mr Robin Ho.
Backtesting using our new algorithm, our one year performance has been rewarding. 5 of the 6 indices covered made a profit, with our best performer SIMSCI yielding a 79.6% win rate and making over *250% return!
Just over the past 1 month from 24 April to 23 May, if you have followed the signal calls strictly, from the actual performance, the gross return is *SGD$4742 with a capital of just *SGD$22202, with a maximum drawdown of 2.56%.
Our simple idea is now revolutionising the way people trade, and created a new way for retail investors to seek profit from the market on a intraday basis, under any market condition.
With this solution, anyone can trade better than professional traders.
* Returns are gross figures based on POEMS CFD margin requirement and contract size (excludes broker commissions)
Join us for a free trial of the RHO Index Key Levels at https://www.tradingkungfu.com/keylevels









All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Wednesday, May 22, 2019

Apple Could Be The "Whipping Boy" In This Trade War


The risk of Apple turning out to be the “Whipping Boy” in this US China Trade spat is high . China has threatened to retaliate without giving details and It's hard to imagine China won't respond in kind and ban the sale of Chinese manufactured goods to U.S. companies. That would be a catastrophic for Apple (AAPL).. This is because many of Apple's suppliers build those parts in China. though the company's iPhones and iPads have components that come from all over the world. Foxconn and Pegatron, are 2 major companies that do their final assembly in China
 If China decides to retaliate and ban  goods manufactured  from being sold  to U.S. companies, Apple's iPhone and iPad production capabilities. would face serious setback. In 2018, the iPhone made up 62.1% of the company's revenue, while the iPad made up 6.9%...
The whole of  Apple supply chain such as Xilinx (XLNX), Inphi (IPHI), Micron Technology (MU), Qualcomm (QCOM), Skyworks Solutions (SWKS),  Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM), to name a few...could be adversely affected

All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Monday, May 20, 2019

In 8 Days Time $15 Billion Could Be Added To Chinese Stocks

MSCI announced plans to increase weightings of Chinese A shares in a 3 steps process that will begin on 28 May and the change will happen in 10 days time. On 28 May the weighting will double to a 1.8% up from the current weighting of 0.9%. This shift will cause billions to be added to the China A share and we are talking about $15 billion of new money. 

you are probably wondering.....the Chinese Stocks are  free falling from the renewed escalation of the US-China trade war. How can the Chinese stocks be going up?

Yes the current negative headwind will continue to weight on stocks but Sifu believe that Trump wants a strong market and needs to reach a deal with China eventually to achieve his re-election goals.

Watch the market as it approaches the 28 May deadline, Sifu expects a strong rebound as the market sentinments shifts towards the positive impact  of new money coming into the chinese market. 

Of course Sifu is not intending to hold Chinese Stocks for indefinitely as  long as the headwind of trade war continues to take centrestage, only suggesting there is a good probably of a rebound when we approach nearer to 28 May. Happy Trading and Happy Vesak Day


All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Friday, May 17, 2019

Tencent - Technical Breakdown !

Broke strong support at 375. Could be heading for next support at 347 and 334
All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Monday, May 13, 2019

Guide to RHO Index Key Levels Strategy and POEMS Platform Training

Upcoming Seminar

Date: 18 May 2019, Saturday,

Time: 2pm - 4pm

Venue: Raffles City Office Tower level 6


You will learn:

- How to place trades on Phillip Securities' POEMS trading platform, including advanced order types such as stop loss and OCO orders

- Basics of trading Contract For Difference (CFD)

- Basics of trading Daily Leverage Certificates (DLC)

- Tips on managing your investment and trading portfolio

- Guide to RHO Index Key Levels strategy (new!)
more info on tradingkungfu.com/keylevels


Click here to register.



All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Wednesday, May 8, 2019

US - China Trade Talk - Friday 1201 pm is Make or Break.


US-China trade talk –Friday at 1201pm Is Make Or Break
For weeks now , Trump has been telling us again and again that trade talk is going well. The market was caught by surprised when Trump roll the market with his tweet  threatening to raise the tariff  rate on USD200bn of Chinese exports from 10% to 25% this Friday at 1201 (spore time)  to penalise China for slow progress and attempting to renegotiate its commitment to commit changes required by the trade agreement into Chinese law.  
This blog believe that these threats are most likely a negotiation tactics meant to incentivise a deal more quickly . This blog do not expect the Trump  would allow the talk to colapse after months of hard work, and though there has been a deterioration in trust on both sides,  raising tariffs would be counterproductive. In particular it would make it impossible to secure an agreement from China to increase its purchases of US products. Without such an agreement it would be hard for the Trump , going into next year’s election, to demonstrate that he is ‘winning’ the trade war. If the Trump miscalculates and China walks away from a deal , stocks will colapse in a hurry. US stocks has been up past 5 months , the sharp drop in stocks  after Trump’s tweet suggest that rising hope of a trade deal have been the key reason why.
This blog base case case remains that an agreement will be done  before mid-year. Once the deal is done , the focus will shift to compliance which  will prove difficult and Trade tensions will again escalate .
In the meantime , the tariffs is scheduled to be raise on Friday at 1201 pm (Spore Time), traders should keep a close eyes on the US indices futures market at 1201 pm  for early clue of the outcome and seize the opportunity to take early action.


All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Monday, April 29, 2019

On the Spot Technical Analysis at SGX Active Traders Fair 2019

On Saturday, I was invited speak at SGX Active Traders Fair 2019, in the segment "On the Spot Technical Analysis: Pick Your Stock". 

I am glad that many participants stayed back for the final segment of the day to hear me share about price and volume action analysis, and watch it come alive on the stocks they picked.

I also shared about my RHO Index Key Levels strategy, with the enhanced algorithm that will automatically generate profit taking signals in real time!

You may read more about the strategy on tradingkungfu.com/keylevels.








All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Monday, April 22, 2019

Dow Jones - Dow Jones - A Head And Shoulder Reversal Pattern In The Making?

Dow Jones - A Head And Shoulder Reversal Pattern In The Making?

All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Saturday, April 13, 2019

Prcie Action Tradeplan Continue To Amazed Me With Immaculate Accuracy - GLLI Tradplane Posted On 20 Mar 2019 Has Been Spot On .

The GLLI Tradplan  posted on 20 Mar 2019 based on Price Action was spot on ! I have been asked many times how a trader could gain confidence in timing their entry and exit. The answer is in having good tradeplan that works!. Over my past 35 years of trading , I have faced many challenges and failures and what keeps me going and my confidence alive are good tradeplan that are actionable and profitable like the GLII traeplan and the many tradeplan that i have posted on this blog. Tradeplan based  on  historical volume and price action has continue to amaze me with its accuracy and reliability. 



All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Friday, March 29, 2019

China A50 Index - All Set to Roar Again After A One Month Consolidation

This blog remain bullish on Chinese equities and will be a buyer on pullbacks. The key drivers for A shares this year will be the prospect of a 3 steps  inclusion of A shares into MSCI beginning in May , Aug and Nov 2019 . MSCI has sped up the exposure to China A shares by bringing forward the timeline of including midcap securities from May 2020 to Nov 2019. The weight of China A shares in MSCI index will increase from 5% to 20% by the end of the year
All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Monday, March 25, 2019

Market Outlook March 2019 Highlights

We just wrapped up our market outlook last Saturday, 23 March 2019. More than 300 people gathered to hear Robin share his insights on the market.

The next market outlook has been scheduled on 3 August 2019. Register by Sunday, 31 March 2019 for Super Early Bird pricehttps://bit.ly/2TO076G


Here are the highlights of the seminar.






S&P 500 and US 10 year treasury yield have been diverging

US 10 year and 3 month Yield Curve just inverted, a potential recession indicator





Gold and US dollar are moving in the same direction, a departure from their
usual negative correlation, which casts doubt on the current stock market rally.



All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only