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Wednesday, May 22, 2019

Apple Could Be The "Whipping Boy" In This Trade War


The risk of Apple turning out to be the “Whipping Boy” in this US China Trade spat is high . China has threatened to retaliate without giving details and It's hard to imagine China won't respond in kind and ban the sale of Chinese manufactured goods to U.S. companies. That would be a catastrophic for Apple (AAPL).. This is because many of Apple's suppliers build those parts in China. though the company's iPhones and iPads have components that come from all over the world. Foxconn and Pegatron, are 2 major companies that do their final assembly in China
 If China decides to retaliate and ban  goods manufactured  from being sold  to U.S. companies, Apple's iPhone and iPad production capabilities. would face serious setback. In 2018, the iPhone made up 62.1% of the company's revenue, while the iPad made up 6.9%...
The whole of  Apple supply chain such as Xilinx (XLNX), Inphi (IPHI), Micron Technology (MU), Qualcomm (QCOM), Skyworks Solutions (SWKS),  Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM), to name a few...could be adversely affected

All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Monday, May 20, 2019

In 8 Days Time $15 Billion Could Be Added To Chinese Stocks

MSCI announced plans to increase weightings of Chinese A shares in a 3 steps process that will begin on 28 May and the change will happen in 10 days time. On 28 May the weighting will double to a 1.8% up from the current weighting of 0.9%. This shift will cause billions to be added to the China A share and we are talking about $15 billion of new money. 

you are probably wondering.....the Chinese Stocks are  free falling from the renewed escalation of the US-China trade war. How can the Chinese stocks be going up?

Yes the current negative headwind will continue to weight on stocks but Sifu believe that Trump wants a strong market and needs to reach a deal with China eventually to achieve his re-election goals.

Watch the market as it approaches the 28 May deadline, Sifu expects a strong rebound as the market sentinments shifts towards the positive impact  of new money coming into the chinese market. 

Of course Sifu is not intending to hold Chinese Stocks for indefinitely as  long as the headwind of trade war continues to take centrestage, only suggesting there is a good probably of a rebound when we approach nearer to 28 May. Happy Trading and Happy Vesak Day


All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Friday, May 17, 2019

Tencent - Technical Breakdown !

Broke strong support at 375. Could be heading for next support at 347 and 334
All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Monday, May 13, 2019

Guide to RHO Index Key Levels Strategy and POEMS Platform Training

Upcoming Seminar

Date: 18 May 2019, Saturday,

Time: 2pm - 4pm

Venue: Raffles City Office Tower level 6


You will learn:

- How to place trades on Phillip Securities' POEMS trading platform, including advanced order types such as stop loss and OCO orders

- Basics of trading Contract For Difference (CFD)

- Basics of trading Daily Leverage Certificates (DLC)

- Tips on managing your investment and trading portfolio

- Guide to RHO Index Key Levels strategy (new!)
more info on tradingkungfu.com/keylevels


Click here to register.



All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Wednesday, May 8, 2019

US - China Trade Talk - Friday 1201 pm is Make or Break.


US-China trade talk –Friday at 1201pm Is Make Or Break
For weeks now , Trump has been telling us again and again that trade talk is going well. The market was caught by surprised when Trump roll the market with his tweet  threatening to raise the tariff  rate on USD200bn of Chinese exports from 10% to 25% this Friday at 1201 (spore time)  to penalise China for slow progress and attempting to renegotiate its commitment to commit changes required by the trade agreement into Chinese law.  
This blog believe that these threats are most likely a negotiation tactics meant to incentivise a deal more quickly . This blog do not expect the Trump  would allow the talk to colapse after months of hard work, and though there has been a deterioration in trust on both sides,  raising tariffs would be counterproductive. In particular it would make it impossible to secure an agreement from China to increase its purchases of US products. Without such an agreement it would be hard for the Trump , going into next year’s election, to demonstrate that he is ‘winning’ the trade war. If the Trump miscalculates and China walks away from a deal , stocks will colapse in a hurry. US stocks has been up past 5 months , the sharp drop in stocks  after Trump’s tweet suggest that rising hope of a trade deal have been the key reason why.
This blog base case case remains that an agreement will be done  before mid-year. Once the deal is done , the focus will shift to compliance which  will prove difficult and Trade tensions will again escalate .
In the meantime , the tariffs is scheduled to be raise on Friday at 1201 pm (Spore Time), traders should keep a close eyes on the US indices futures market at 1201 pm  for early clue of the outcome and seize the opportunity to take early action.


All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Monday, April 29, 2019

On the Spot Technical Analysis at SGX Active Traders Fair 2019

On Saturday, I was invited speak at SGX Active Traders Fair 2019, in the segment "On the Spot Technical Analysis: Pick Your Stock". 

I am glad that many participants stayed back for the final segment of the day to hear me share about price and volume action analysis, and watch it come alive on the stocks they picked.

I also shared about my RHO Index Key Levels strategy, with the enhanced algorithm that will automatically generate profit taking signals in real time!

You may read more about the strategy on tradingkungfu.com/keylevels.








All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Monday, April 22, 2019

Dow Jones - Dow Jones - A Head And Shoulder Reversal Pattern In The Making?

Dow Jones - A Head And Shoulder Reversal Pattern In The Making?

All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Saturday, April 13, 2019

Prcie Action Tradeplan Continue To Amazed Me With Immaculate Accuracy - GLLI Tradplane Posted On 20 Mar 2019 Has Been Spot On .

The GLLI Tradplan  posted on 20 Mar 2019 based on Price Action was spot on ! I have been asked many times how a trader could gain confidence in timing their entry and exit. The answer is in having good tradeplan that works!. Over my past 35 years of trading , I have faced many challenges and failures and what keeps me going and my confidence alive are good tradeplan that are actionable and profitable like the GLII traeplan and the many tradeplan that i have posted on this blog. Tradeplan based  on  historical volume and price action has continue to amaze me with its accuracy and reliability. 



All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Friday, March 29, 2019

China A50 Index - All Set to Roar Again After A One Month Consolidation

This blog remain bullish on Chinese equities and will be a buyer on pullbacks. The key drivers for A shares this year will be the prospect of a 3 steps  inclusion of A shares into MSCI beginning in May , Aug and Nov 2019 . MSCI has sped up the exposure to China A shares by bringing forward the timeline of including midcap securities from May 2020 to Nov 2019. The weight of China A shares in MSCI index will increase from 5% to 20% by the end of the year
All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Monday, March 25, 2019

Market Outlook March 2019 Highlights

We just wrapped up our market outlook last Saturday, 23 March 2019. More than 300 people gathered to hear Robin share his insights on the market.

The next market outlook has been scheduled on 3 August 2019. Register by Sunday, 31 March 2019 for Super Early Bird pricehttps://bit.ly/2TO076G


Here are the highlights of the seminar.






S&P 500 and US 10 year treasury yield have been diverging

US 10 year and 3 month Yield Curve just inverted, a potential recession indicator





Gold and US dollar are moving in the same direction, a departure from their
usual negative correlation, which casts doubt on the current stock market rally.



All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Monday, March 18, 2019

SGX Course - March 2019 Intake

Today, we wrapped up our 1.5 day course with SGX.

In this class, we have full time traders, remisiers, as well as students who are totally new to trading. Everyone was here to learn a life skill and create a new source of income with trading.



All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only

8-Figure Trading Blueprint with Dr Wealth

Last week, we concluded the inaugural 8 Figure Trading Blueprint Course with Dr. Wealth.

One of the highlights of the course was on 12 March, the fateful day Boeing's stock was sold down as more countries were grounding their 737 Max planes. Robin had prepared the trade plan together with the class before US market opened. At 1030pm, everyone stayed back to witness how the price moved according to the trade plan.

It was an eye opening experience for the students to see the trade plans they had done together come alive in real time.

The next intake for 8-Figure Trading Course is coming up in June 2019. 

For more information about the course, check out the official website of the course.




All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Wednesday, March 6, 2019

Jardine C & C - High Debt and Margin Drag Could Post More Challenges.

Jardine C & C - - Earnings drop due to higher interest cost . Net debt remain elevated at US 1.3b contributing to higher financing cost . A rights issue could be in the offing this year. Negative margin from Astra's automotive business is a concern . If 32.00 support give way, the next target is 30.00
All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Thursday, February 21, 2019

S & P 500 - Price Action Is Consistent . Expect A Correction Soon!

 S & P Price Action since Oct 18 has not change after falling below the 200 MA it managed to roll back again with a 1.5 to 2 % premium to the 200 days MA before rolling over again with the respective discount at 5%  Oct , 4.5% in Nov and 15% in Dec 18. Currently the S&P is  1.3% premium above the 200 days MA just below  the overhead resistance at 2823. As long as price stay below this level , sifu expect a correction between 5 to 7% in the short term.
All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Monday, February 18, 2019

Thomson Medical - Testing Key Resistance , BB interest could be back

A Break Above Key Resistance at 0.081 could see prices heading for 0.088 and 0.09


All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Thursday, February 14, 2019

Sunpower - It Could Be A Distribution Phase, Standby For Exit

Blow Out Volume and Price action  could indicate that the Big Boys are exiting the trade



All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Monday, February 11, 2019

Hong Kong Land - One of My Favourite Short Set - Up

Hong Kong Land - This is one of my favorite setup to initiate shorts for a l-2 months swing trade. The stock broke its long term uptrend in Aug 18 and has since rebounded to the overhead resistance line on the uptrend line . A pull back is imminent .
All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Friday, February 1, 2019

Dow - Testing Overhead 200 Days Resistance and RHO Trendline

DOW Tradeplan  - Dow is currently testing the overhead  200 days MA and the RHO Trendline resistance. This Blog expect the current counter trend rally to run out of steam soon , a break a below 247760 will take the index to 24310 , 23180 and 22625 . Its worth noting the volume traded on 31 Jan was the highest in January , an indication the index could pull back soon.

All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Thursday, January 31, 2019

Hang Seng Index - The current rally could be peaking soon .

Hang Seng Index -  The current rally could be peaking soon . Today the prices ran into the overhead resisstance of both RHO Trendline and the 200 Days MA  suggesting this rally could run out of steam soon. Prices briefly went above the 28,000 mark . A fallback to 26700 could be on the cards.
All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Monday, January 28, 2019

GSS Energy - Renewed buying interest from BBs

GSS Energy looks bullish. Big Boys are supporting as we see renewed buying interest today though the stock is due for selling from the high volume day a week ago, Next target 0.136, cut loss 0.119.


All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only

Gold - Holding firm above 200 day moving average

Gold - Holding up firmly above the 200 day moving average. Key resistance at 1305. If it can break an stay above 1305, it will likely head for its next target at 1347 and 1410 respectively.


All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Friday, January 25, 2019

Next Market Moving Event : US - China Trade Talk On 30-31 Jan – Will There Be A Deal?

Donald Trump’s approval rating has fallen to 41%. This is because the longest US federal government shutdown in history has started to make an impact on the economy with an estimated 800,000 workers not being paid and governments contractors payments delayed. Donald knows he needs to win back the public confidence if he wants to seek an re-election into the second term in office.



On the second summit between Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong-un will be held late next month. Trump wants to register a “win” in this  area where all of the previous presidents have failed.
Trump knows that Kim is not going to agree to a deal based on the demands based on conditions to
shuts down all its existing nuclear facilities based on advise of national security hawks such as John Bolton. This is why Trump needs the support of Xi to try to come up with some formula which bridges the current impasse.

Desperate to win back public confidence, needing the support of Xi on the Korean De-nuclearisation With the world and US economy heading in recession, street wise Donald knows he has messed up and needs a trade deal with China.

Last week The Wall Street Journal’s report that US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin favours removing the existing tariffs introduced last year which support this view that Donald wants a deal with China. The proposed deal hopes to soften China position  in areas such as intellectual property and market access.

Meanwhile opposition voices against China stealing of Intellectual Property rights are getting louder,
last Wednesday lawmakers introduced bills that would ban the sale of US chips or other components to Huawei, ZTE or other Chinese telecom companies that “are in violation of the export control of the United States”. President Xi knows that he has to do a deal while Trump is still in office because future US leaders may be more hostile towards China. China is correct to offer an increase in imports from America by a combined value of more than US$1tn over the next six years, seeking to reduce its trade surplus with the US to zero by 2024.

It makes sense to assume a deal will be done and the existing tariffs will be removed, as well as the threatened tariffs not implemented. This is why the stock market will continue to hold up until 30-31 January.

Still, this blog's base case is that the current rally, which start started after Christmas has helped Dow Jones recover 60% since it hit a low on Boxing Day, is a counter trend rally in a broader Bear Market that was ignited on the news of Trade War 90 days Truce and the prospect of relaxing monetary policies.






All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Monday, January 21, 2019

DOW - Approaching Sell Zone .

Dow Jones - Approaching Sell Zone between 24860 and 25325. It is also approaching the 200 days Moving Average Overhead Resistance . The sell zone also marks a 60% retracement of the Dec low. This blog has maintained that the 1Q19 rally a rebound within a broader bear market . The Dow should retest its Dec low in the 2Q19.
All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Tuesday, January 15, 2019

Best World - 3rd attempt at breakout failed

Best world made third attempt at breaking 2.79, but failed. Next support at 2.54, a break below this level will be short term bearish.


All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Thursday, January 10, 2019

Ezion - Next Move could be down

We see similar price action for Ezion as in November 2018, when there was a spike in volume for a day to push up the price, but no follow-up volume in the subsequent days. Could history repeat itself?


All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Tuesday, January 8, 2019

Netflix - rebound could be ending


Netflix at 321 will complete the its rebound and could pull back to 292 and 272.



All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Monday, January 7, 2019

Silverlake Axis - Bearish Bar Emerged

Company announced it clinched 8 new contracts in the last 6 months, and signed services contract with AEON Vietnam. These are good news that should see the price go up, but instead the BB took the opportunity to unload the stock. The price action looks bearish. Any break below 0.40 could see the price accelerate to 0.345 and 0.295.


All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Thursday, January 3, 2019

Best World - First Bearish Bar Emerged

First bearish bar emerged for Best World today. Could have topped in the short term. Next target 2.58 and 2.45.


All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only

HK 981 Semiconductor Manufacturing


On 7 Dec 2018 at the market outlook, Sifu called for a short on the stock at 7.30. Today, it is trading at 6.36, and heading for the next support at 6.25. It could test its October low 5.95.


All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only