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Friday, September 28, 2018

Italian Politics Will Shake The Markets

Italy Politics Will Shake The Market

With the focus on Trump’s Trade War  and its  potential fallout in other emerging markets, traders forgot about the Italy and the Eurozone. Yesterday the Italian Government agreed to a 2019 budget deficit target of 2.4% of GDP that could bring it into direct conflict with the European Union. It will now begin its passage through Parliament before being presented to EU by 20 October 2018.

This blog believes that the current Italian government is
likely to trigger a renewed existential crisis in the Eurozone
Compared with other countries in eurozone ,  Italy has recorded almost no growth
since the formation of the euro at the beginning of 1999. Italian real GDP has risen by only an
annualised 0.4% since 1Q99 and is up only an annualised 0.1% in real GDP per capita terms over the
same period.
While pundits are worried about  Trump-triggered trade war, rising interest rates or overvalued
Wall Street FANG stocks Ths blog believes that a systemic event in financial markets is more likely to be
triggered by Italy and the Eurozone . Still, they are all interconnected phenomena since, for example, a renewed focus on the existential risks in the Eurozone is likely to put renewed downward pressure on the
euro which will then lead to strong  US dollar.
This will in turn make it more challenging emerging countries to pay their debts. Similarly, an escalation in trade wars are likely to drive the  US dollar higher.

For now this blog is short on the Euro dollar and the Dax in anticipation of a renewed existent crisis in Eurozone in October
All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only

Cosco Shipping- broke out of downtrend. Could something be brewing?

Parent company Cosco Shipping Port (1199.hk) was up 6% today, on the highest volume in two years. Cosco Shipping Singapore (F83) has also broken out of its long term down trend, and is currently testing the resistance of $0.415. Could something be brewing? First target is $0.445, followed by $0.47.


All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Thursday, September 27, 2018
Tuesday, September 25, 2018

The MSCI Spore Index (SIMSCI ) Future - Volume Could Have Peaked Today, It Could Fall Soon!

The MSCI Spore Index (SIMSCI ) FUTURE -
Peak Volume  and  Price Decline Correlation
In the last 6 months, Peak Volume in SIMSCI has been followed shortly by Price Decline. Today the SIMSCI volume seems to be peaking! Another Canary In The Gold Mine?


All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Monday, September 17, 2018

DLC Webcast: HSI fell below 27000 points

Robin's DLC webcast is up on Soc Gen's website.

BBG reported President Donald Trump instructed aides to proceed with tariffs on nearly $200 billion more in Chinese products, despite attempts to revive talks aimed at resolving the trade war. Hang Seng Index dropped back to the 10D SMA and fluctuated around 27,000 points level today.

For this week's market outlook and Trade Plans, watch the video here:


All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Wednesday, September 12, 2018

Simsci Prediction for 12 Sep 2018

Simsci hit our predicted day high today and corrected 1.83 points in 140 minutes!


All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Wednesday, September 5, 2018

RHO Trading Signals - Promising Results!

Our RHO Quick Win (Asia) signals for the past two days yielded promising results!

Signal for Capitaland was first sent out yesterday, and today it broke down from the trigger price of $3.41, before hitting the first take profit target of $3.38. It could be heading for the second target $3.26.

This morning, we also saw the signal of Hongkong Land at 10.04 am. It has since hit the first take profit target of $6.79.

For more details about RHO Trading Signals, simply email 
to:  tanyunyou@phillip.com.sg, cc robinhosa@phillip.com.sg





All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Monday, September 3, 2018

China Sunsine - Price touches Long Term Trendline Support But Breakdown Looks Inevitable

China SunSine  -  Touched the Long Term trendline support   today at 1.13 , could rebound to 1.20 in the short term but the distribution pattern at the top  suggest Big Boys could have exited and a Breakdown below this long term trend is  inevitable.
All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only

DLC Webcast ~ 3 September 2018

Robin's webcast for DLC is ready.

For this week's market outlook and Trade Plans, watch the video here:


All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only