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Monday, October 15, 2018

DLC webcast: HSI is trying to find support at 25500

PBOC Governor, Yi Gang says central bank is considering a range of risks in its currency policy, including a worst-case scenario. RMB has normal volatility, to stay in reasonable range and now is at a “reasonable and equilibrium level. Hang Seng Index gapped down nearly 200 points and found the support at around 25,500 points level.

Click here to watch this week's DLC webcast. 


All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Tuesday, October 9, 2018

Thomson Medical - warrants back in-the-money

The price action of Thomson Medical (TM) looks interesting these few days. With the existing TM Warrants expiring in April next year, the price of TM has now returned to $0.09, which is the exercise price of TM warrants.

If the price stays above $0.09-$0.095, there could be an opportunity for shareholders to arbitrage by selling their shares and convert their TM warrants into shares at $0.09 in order to receive the piggy-back warrants, which only expires in 3 years. Exercise price of the piggyback warrants is $0.12.

For the piggyback warrants to be listed, 100 shareholders have to exercise their TM warrants. From TM's point of view, investors exercising the warrants will be an important source of funds for its projects.
All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Thursday, October 4, 2018

Inflection Point

As the US indices tested their all time highs recently, we are seeing signs that the US market could be due for a major correction soon. Here are 3 signs that the US market is at its inflection point.

1) The US Dollar Index is poised for a breakout from its resistance at 95.7, towards the previous high of 97.


2) US 10-year treasury yield is testing the upper trend line of the channel and could be on the verge of a break out.

3) The Semi-conductor Index is forming a double top, and could break down soon.






All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only

Best Buy Inc (BBY) - First Bearish Bar ! This stock could also have hit its long term peak and a major reversal of trend could be expected !


All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Tuesday, October 2, 2018

DLC Webcast - China Weaker PMI numbers added more selling pressure

China Weaker PMI numbers showed 2 gauges of activity in China’s manufacturing sector worsened in September, reflecting the nation’s economic slowdown and the fallout from the trade war with the U.S. Hang Seng Index dropped back to the 10D and 20D SMA and now is trying to stabilize at around 27,300 points level.

Click here to watch the webcast: https://dlc.socgen.com/en/webcast-inside.php?id=40


All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Friday, September 28, 2018

Italian Politics Will Shake The Markets

Italy Politics Will Shake The Market

With the focus on Trump’s Trade War  and its  potential fallout in other emerging markets, traders forgot about the Italy and the Eurozone. Yesterday the Italian Government agreed to a 2019 budget deficit target of 2.4% of GDP that could bring it into direct conflict with the European Union. It will now begin its passage through Parliament before being presented to EU by 20 October 2018.

This blog believes that the current Italian government is
likely to trigger a renewed existential crisis in the Eurozone
Compared with other countries in eurozone ,  Italy has recorded almost no growth
since the formation of the euro at the beginning of 1999. Italian real GDP has risen by only an
annualised 0.4% since 1Q99 and is up only an annualised 0.1% in real GDP per capita terms over the
same period.
While pundits are worried about  Trump-triggered trade war, rising interest rates or overvalued
Wall Street FANG stocks Ths blog believes that a systemic event in financial markets is more likely to be
triggered by Italy and the Eurozone . Still, they are all interconnected phenomena since, for example, a renewed focus on the existential risks in the Eurozone is likely to put renewed downward pressure on the
euro which will then lead to strong  US dollar.
This will in turn make it more challenging emerging countries to pay their debts. Similarly, an escalation in trade wars are likely to drive the  US dollar higher.

For now this blog is short on the Euro dollar and the Dax in anticipation of a renewed existent crisis in Eurozone in October
All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only

Cosco Shipping- broke out of downtrend. Could something be brewing?

Parent company Cosco Shipping Port (1199.hk) was up 6% today, on the highest volume in two years. Cosco Shipping Singapore (F83) has also broken out of its long term down trend, and is currently testing the resistance of $0.415. Could something be brewing? First target is $0.445, followed by $0.47.


All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Thursday, September 27, 2018
Tuesday, September 25, 2018

The MSCI Spore Index (SIMSCI ) Future - Volume Could Have Peaked Today, It Could Fall Soon!

The MSCI Spore Index (SIMSCI ) FUTURE -
Peak Volume  and  Price Decline Correlation
In the last 6 months, Peak Volume in SIMSCI has been followed shortly by Price Decline. Today the SIMSCI volume seems to be peaking! Another Canary In The Gold Mine?


All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Monday, September 17, 2018

DLC Webcast: HSI fell below 27000 points

Robin's DLC webcast is up on Soc Gen's website.

BBG reported President Donald Trump instructed aides to proceed with tariffs on nearly $200 billion more in Chinese products, despite attempts to revive talks aimed at resolving the trade war. Hang Seng Index dropped back to the 10D SMA and fluctuated around 27,000 points level today.

For this week's market outlook and Trade Plans, watch the video here:


All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Wednesday, September 12, 2018

Simsci Prediction for 12 Sep 2018

Simsci hit our predicted day high today and corrected 1.83 points in 140 minutes!


All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Wednesday, September 5, 2018

RHO Trading Signals - Promising Results!

Our RHO Quick Win (Asia) signals for the past two days yielded promising results!

Signal for Capitaland was first sent out yesterday, and today it broke down from the trigger price of $3.41, before hitting the first take profit target of $3.38. It could be heading for the second target $3.26.

This morning, we also saw the signal of Hongkong Land at 10.04 am. It has since hit the first take profit target of $6.79.

For more details about RHO Trading Signals, simply email 
to:  tanyunyou@phillip.com.sg, cc robinhosa@phillip.com.sg





All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Monday, September 3, 2018

China Sunsine - Price touches Long Term Trendline Support But Breakdown Looks Inevitable

China SunSine  -  Touched the Long Term trendline support   today at 1.13 , could rebound to 1.20 in the short term but the distribution pattern at the top  suggest Big Boys could have exited and a Breakdown below this long term trend is  inevitable.
All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only

DLC Webcast ~ 3 September 2018

Robin's webcast for DLC is ready.

For this week's market outlook and Trade Plans, watch the video here:


All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Monday, August 27, 2018

RHO Index Key Levels Prediction - Simsci 27 August 2018

Simsci hit our projected day high, and corrected 1.9 points in 288 minutes!

To receive RHO Index Key Levels signals on your handphone, click here for more details.




All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Tuesday, August 21, 2018

Hang Seng Property Index - The Fundamentals and Technicals are pointing to a Impending Crash !

For the last 30  years , the Hang Seng Property index has experienced 2 Big Crashes in 1997 and 2008.. From my Chart, after nearly 10  years of uptrend since 2009 the index has reached a multi year peak and is about to experience another major crash. This could come in the next 6 months. The Fundamentals for such a crash is also in place with rising interest rates, slowing economy and a depreciating Chinese Yuan . From 2005-2006 period property price correction was triggered by mortgage rate hike, in 2008 it was caused by economic downturn due to the global financial crisis and in 2015-2016 period it was due to Chinese yuan depreciation. All the headwinds are now in playto trigger yet another property crash. This blog is bearish on Country Garden, SHKP and Sino Land.
All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Friday, August 17, 2018

Its A Matter Of the King Dollar

The US Dollar Index has broken above its key 95 resistance level and would be heading for the next resistance levels 97.7,  99.00 and 1.00. With the dollar strength , the cheap dollar that drives a multi year borrowing binge that fueled heady growth is about to take its toll on Emerging Countries laden with dollar debts. Turkey crisis  is the latest example of  a Dollar victim  which expert fear would spread to other emerging markets. Turkey could be a canary in gold mine for the vast amount of cheap dollar loans accumulated worldwide since central bankers started Quantitative Easing in 2009. The Donald Trump led Fiscal easing and Monetary tightening , will continue to power the dollar higher. Trump has been using trade sanction and strong dollar as a part of his bullying tactics to pursue the American agenda. As long as the dollar bull continues, Asia and emerging markets will continue to be weak and the only place to put your money will be the Trump led US stock market.


All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Wednesday, August 8, 2018

HSI Prediction on 7 Aug 2018 - Using the key levels in trade plan

Yesterday morning, Hang Seng Index hit the projected day high and corrected 159 points in 50 minutes. It went on to stage a strong recovery, hitting and consolidating at the 28010 level again, before hitting the stop loss which is 100 points away. From the chart below, we can see how the price tested the RHO Index Key Levels published before the market had opened. On hind sight, the levels yesterday would have formed an effective trade plan.

To find out more about RHO Index Key Levels, you may get more details here.




All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Monday, August 6, 2018

RHO Index Key Levels Hang Seng Index hit target, DLC Webcast ~ 6 August 2018


The RHO Index Key levels for Hang Seng Index hit the projected day high, and went on to fall 311 points in 215 minutes!

To get access to RHO Index Key Levels notifications on your mobile phone, visit: https://www.tradingkungfu.com/product/rho-key-levels/





Robin has shared his views about the market on this week's DLC webcast with Soc Gen. You may watch the video and join the DLC interest group here: https://www.tradingkungfu.com/dlc/







All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Tuesday, July 31, 2018

Highlights of Robin's Market Outlook July 2018



Last Saturday, about 400 packed Nexus Auditorium to listen to Robin's insights of the market.



The theme of this market outlook is "Conflicting Signals".


The first conflicting signal is the divergence of the US and Asian markets.


China stocks have entered into a bear market, with the Shanghai A-shares index falling more than 20%.



The US 2 year treasury yield is catching up with the 10 year treasury yield, which could be a signal that the market does not believe in the long term recovery prospect of growth and inflation, despite the low unemployment, recovering economic growth and improving CPI trajectory.


Historically, when unemployment forms a bottom, the market would have formed a peak. Thus a reversal in the current low unemployment rate could be a sign for a market downturn.


  


There has been unanimous consensus among analysts that the advent of clean energy automobiles will curb the usage of crude oil, thus they hold a long term bearish view on crude. However, with US pressing the world to stop importing crude oil from Iran, it is a potential flash point that could ignite the price of crude oil again.




STI's macro down trend is intact, current rebound should be taken as an opportunity to sell into strength.








The above deal could be announced as early as August 2018, so watch Sembcorp Marine. 


For the past three years, S&P has corrected in the month of August. This could happen again this year, watch for it!







The FAANG trade has never been more crowded than in the last one month. This could potentially be the most risky trade in the months ahead.


This trade plan shows that Nasdaq has peaked and could experience a major correction soon.


For Dow Jones, a break below this crowded trade could potentially mark the start of a bear market.


All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Friday, July 20, 2018

RHO Key Levels for Hang Seng Index- 20 July 2018

This morning, the Hang Seng Index hit our projected day low, and went on to gain 459 points in 198 minutes!

You may find out more about how to get access to the signals on Trading Kungfu's website:

https://www.tradingkungfu.com/product/rho-key-levels/


All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Thursday, July 19, 2018

RHO Key Levels for Hang Seng Index- 19 July 2018

This morning, the Hang Seng Index hit our projected day high, and went on to fall 155 points in 36 minutes.

To get 3 months free subscription of the RHO Key Levels on your mobile phone, sign up for our DLC interest group, and we will send you the special promo code. You will also enjoy various benefits and get invited to exclusive events!

More details and registration on the Trading Kungfu website:

https://www.tradingkungfu.com/product/rho-key-levels/


All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Tuesday, July 17, 2018

Testimonial for RHO Key Levels - "Lazy Trades are Smart Trades"

A client followed RHO Key Levels combined with trading strategies learned from Robin's MTM course and achieved an impressive 9 out of 10 winning rate! Indeed "lazy trades" are smart trades!

To get 3 months free subscription of the RHO Key Levels on your mobile phone, sign up for our DLC interest group, and we will send you the special promo code. You will also enjoy various benefits and get invited to exclusive events!

More details and registration on the Trading Kungfu website:




All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only

RHO Key Levels for Singapore MSCI - 17 July 2018

This morning, Singapore MSCI hit our projected day high, and went on to fall 1.8 points in 78 minutes.

To get 3 months free subscription of the RHO Key Levels on your mobile phone, sign up for our DLC interest group, and we will send you the special promo code. You will also enjoy various benefits and get invited to exclusive events!

More details and registration on the Trading Kungfu website:

https://www.tradingkungfu.com/dlc/


All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Wednesday, July 11, 2018

RHO Key Levels for Hang Seng Index - 11 July 2018

This morning, the Hang Seng Index opened at our projected day low, and went on to gain 305 points in 54 minutes. 

To get 3 months free subscription of the RHO Key Levels on your mobile phone, sign up for our DLC interest group, and we will send you the special promo code. You will also enjoy various benefits and get invited to exclusive events!

More details and registration on the Trading Kungfu website:




All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only